Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Who Won

The big question after each of the debates has been "who won?". Only time will tell who actually wins in any debate. In this debate I believe John McCain won the actual debate. However, this will be spun that Obama fought the debate to a draw and therefore won. There is a huge problem with that philosophy.

The "Who Won?" question is not really the right reaction immediately after a debate. This is because initial reactions of a debate are based on emotion. Emotion will tend to yield very mixed results. This was displayed effectively on the post debate talk with a independent focus group on fox news. The group of twenty three undecided independents tended to believe Obama won the debate. However as the discussion went on the group spoke more highly of John McCain. Now only for people made up their mind and moved towards Obama but I would venture a guess that tomorrow morning after those 23 people digest what they heard some will move toward McCain based on the discussions of this focus group.

The right question that needs to be analyzed is more appropriately "Who was better able to get their message out?" It is for this reason I believe McCain won. McCain was very effective at putting Obama on the defensive. Obama was on the defensive with his radical connections, Obama was on the defensive on his tax giveaway plan, Obama was defensive on his education plan, Obama was defensive on his extreme abortion philosophies. McCain played offense tonight. Now I am sure he did not attack enough to knock Obama down but he definitely won on points. John McCain was able to get his message out this this election is not about George Bush it is about the difference between reforming Washington or changing political parties in Washington. John McCain was able to stick the big liberal spender tag on Obama. Additionally, McCain had a classic moment calling Obama "Senator Government". No the media was saying this was a slip. It may have been a slip but nonetheless was an effective comment that really got the point across that Obama will squeeze every penny he can out of all Americans and enact the biggest increases in government expenditures in the history of our country.

In the end, the "Who Won?" question will be resolved. The MSM will go back after the election and put the picture together of what in the debates swayed opinion. In 2004, the MSM declared Kerry won all three debates leading up to the election. After the election they found that their opinions were not accurate. They found that Bush was more effective at getting his message out. In the end Bush effectively held his own in all three debates and was able to sway more undecideds.

I think the same thing will happen this year. After the election when the pundits go looking for answers on why someone won or lost I believe they will find McCain won all three debates. Now I'm not saying McCain is going to win this election. What 'm saying is that when this is investigated for how the three debates swayed voters they will find McCain was effective getting his message out.

Once the emotion of the night wears off and people use logic to evaluate the performances McCain will come out the winner. It will probably be close but McCain was able to paint Obama into the liberal corner while Obama was unable to place McCain in the Bush corner. McCain did win but was it enough to move the polls. We will wait for that answer but on points McCain won.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Judging from the first batch of comments on the debate on McCain's site, McCain won the debate. Since the press is normally against him, these comments are fairly reliable. BA

HeyJude said...

Totally agreed Lizard. John McCain made his case last night, and was effective with his economic argument. I think many of us who support him and have deep concerns about Obama could've argued better on the character issue, but now we need to see if America starts to think about what an Obama presidency really would mean to them. If McCain was able to get people thinking, then I think he will win on Election Day.

Anonymous said...

The debate was a huge success for McCain if people start to worry about Obama like "Joe the Plumber".

"joe the plumber" is the middle class. McCain put a face and a tangible fear t Obama's socialist plans.

Hopefully it will sink in and ads drive home that point.

Anonymous said...

For one person's perspective on how you can make a decision to support Obama AND vote for John McCain, see the YouTube video below:



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PpsdKUQ1nKA



Feel free to forward this to any "undecided" voters you know of. This will be a VERY close election and we need every single vote we can get. Demonizing Obama will get us a few votes (and also lose us at least a few votes) but I hope that a rational, positive thought process will persuade a few people who are still on the fence.



Regards, Dan