Thursday, August 23, 2007

History Repeats?

The current Democratic Party is starting to look a lot like the 1992 and 1996 Republican Party. The Democrats are a party that is split. The hardcore fringe elements of the liberal left are hijacking the party. This hijacking of the Democrat party is reminiscent of the Pat Buchanan movement in the Republican Party. In 1992, Pat Buchanan led a primary fight against the incumbent George Bush. This allowed for the entry of an Independent to enter the race as a solid contender. Ross Perot garnered 18.91 % of the popular vote. Ross Perot was able to set the agenda for the presidential campaign and ultimately turn the tide of the electorate against the Republican Incumbent and ultimately in favor of the Democratic contender William Clinton. Many naysayer’s do not believe Ross Perot actually won the election for William Clinton. There is the belief that Ross Perot took as many votes from William Clinton as George Bush. America will never know. However, what is apparent is that Patrick Buchanan was able to mount a credible primary challenge that fractured the Republican Party. George Bush was forced to allow Pat Buchanan an opportunity to speak in a key prime time slot. In this slot Pat Buchanan gave the famous “fire and Brimstone” speech that splintered the Republican Party. The shocking primary challenge left many moderate republicans in a state of panic. The Republican Party was unable to unite in a single movement. The speech continued to ignite the religious right and inflame the moderates in the party. This fracturing of the party left the door open for Ross Perot.

Today many of these same fault lines are being displayed by the Democrats. The three top tier candidates are sniping at each other. The liberal diarists have marginalized the moderates within the party. Markos Moulitsas Zuniga will undoubtedly have a prominent role in the Democratic National Convention. Mr. Zuniga is a polarizing liberal extremist that has been a leader in the crusade against the moderates and centrists within the Democratic Party. When the far left socialist and communist viewpoints come to the forefront chances are that the Democratic Party will splinter. Rather than unite the political party the liberal diarists will ultimately seize the party and open the door for an independent. Right now Sam Nunn is pondering an independent run under the Unity 2008 umbrella. Ultimately, a candidate of Sam Nunn’s stature will take votes from independents and both parties similar to what Ross Perot did in 1992. What is uncertain is if America is ready to vote for an independent. I believe if America is ready they will vote for the right independent and change the politics of division. However, what is certain is that 2008 looks similar to the 1992 election and we may be in for yet another 4-8 years of a president that does not have the support of a majority of Americans. We are in for another president elected with a plurality rather than a majority. The 2008 election is looking to be a continuation of the divisive politics America has endured for the last 16 years.

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